Australia Today: Federal Election on July 2

Newsroom24x7 Staff

australian federal electionThere will be a federal election in Australia on Saturday, 2 July 2016. Until the result of the election is known, the Federal Government in Australia is in “Caretaker” mode.

The deadline for closing nominations is Thursday 9 June.

During the caretaker period, the business of government will continue, ordinary matters of administration will be addressed and the ‘caretaker conventions’, which aim to ensure that their actions do not bind an incoming government and limit its freedom of action, would be followed. In the interim, the government will avoid:

  • making major policy decisions that are likely to commit an incoming government
  • making significant appointments
  • entering major contracts or undertakings.

Electoral Division

Each electoral division (seat) in Australia is classified in terms of its seat status. Seat status is based on the two-party preferred vote (TPP) count undertaken at the previous federal election. The TPP count in each seat allocates preferences to the Australian Labor Party (ALP) and Liberal/National Coalition (Coalition) candidates only.

A seat where the final two candidates do not comprise both an ALP and Coalition candidate is referred to as a ‘non classic’ seat and a two-candidate preferred (TCP) count is conducted.

The Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) classifies seats as follows:

marginal (M): when the leading party receives less than 56 per cent of the TPP vote
fairly safe (FS): when leading party receives between 56-60 per cent of the TPP vote
safe (S): when a leading party receives more than 60 per cent of the TPP vote.

The number of seats to be elected in the House of Representatives at the 2016 federal election was determined by the Electoral Commissioner in November 2014 using official population figures.

A total of 150 seats will be contested at the 2016 federal election for the House of Representatives. This is the same number as at the 2013 federal election, however, NSW’s entitlement decreased by one seat and WA’s entitlement increased by one seat.

Since the 2013 federal election, the boundaries of seats in New South Wales, Western Australia and the Australian Capital Territory have been redrawn. The names of some seats in New South Wales and the Australian Capital Territory have also changed.

At each election after a redistribution, the AEC calculates the notional seat status for each seat in a redistributed state/territory. The notional seat status is the margin that a party (candidate) would have won the seat by using 2013 federal election voting patterns and applying them to the redrawn boundaries.

These calculations will be used by the AEC’s tally room at the 2016 federal election to provide swings on a TPP basis. As a result, this fact sheet lists the notional TPP margin for the seats in the affected states and the ACT.

‘Non-classic’ results

Historically, almost all of the contests for election to the House of Representatives result in the ‘final two’ candidates being ALP and Coalition candidates.

At the 2013 federal election this was the case in 139 out of 150 seats. The remaining eleven seats are categorised by the AEC as ‘non-classic’.

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