Melbourne : Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) shared data wherein figures reveal that the Australian population is expected to tick over to 24 million at 12.51am on Tuesday, with more than half of that growth driven by new migrants. Overseas migration accounted for 54% of Australia’s increase last year as population expected to reach 50 million by 2086. This swell in population would equate Australia with Shanghai, reason being — the milestone will see Australia draw level with the population of Shanghai, which houses 24 million people in a thousandth of the space. And, according to researchers and statistical analysts, this data would seemingly set itself as the upper limit of the country’s long-term carrying capacity.
The latest data on population figure is drawn from the Australian Bureau of Statistics population clock, which shows a projected rate of population growth based on 12-monthly population estimates. The analysis of data reveals — an anticipation of population increase of one person every 91 seconds, based on known birth, death and migration rates. Thus, based on these rates, Australia is expected to touch a population of 25 million in 2018 and 50 million in 2086. Comparatively, around the globe data totals itself up in such a manner that, by then, according to UN data projections, the global population will have reached 10.6 billion.
Beidar Cho, the ABS Director of Demography, shared his analysis with media. He said, overseas migration counted for 54% of Australia’s growth in 2015, according to net migration figures drawn from passenger cards filled in at the country’s international airports. Suggesting a downside from 2009, when overseas migration accounted for 66% of the population growth. Overseas migration overtook the birth rate as the main source of Australia’s population rate in 2006, two years after the former treasurer Peter Costello urged Australian parents to have ‘one for the father, one for the mother and one for the country’.
The fertility rate was unperturbed by Costello’s impassioned plea, showing only a marginal increase from 1.75 in 2004 to 1.8 in 2015. On comparision, that data appears lower than New Zealand and United Kingdom, and significantly lower than Indonesia, which matches the global fertility rate at 2.5, but ahead of Taiwan, Japan, China and Canada.